Indeed. Competition for second and third place is fierce.
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Some thread necromancy going on here (not it's a bad thing, especially when resurrecting @Lizards of Renown 's glorious thread!) :)
First place has opened up a pretty significant gap from the pack. I can't see it being caught.
Your guess is much more likely than my hope of a Wood Elves reveal. Those leaked Dwarfs dice lend significant credence to the Dwarfs dropping...