I understand that GW has a narrow goal, but they aren't stupid. They are also pretty damn conservative when it comes down to it.
They are doing one thing radically different with this release: the radio silence. On all other edition releases they have tried to control the message, put out a positive spin, e.g:
"...players all over the world wait in eager anticipation of the most Fantastic and Brilliant version of Warhammer..."
And if no one can sit here and even think how it could POSSIBLY be a smart choice, why on earth would a multi million dollar company take that kind of risk?
I'd also like to think that the GW of a decade+ ago is slightly different than the GW of today.
It is obviously different. The radio silence, lips sealed tactic is new. The F&B guys have either been fired or silenced.
My follow up would be, then why haphazardly rebase some but not others?
It is a trial balloon? They've said nothing. Committed to nothing. But they have gotten reactions, which they can gauge and assess as they see fit.
The idea of switching over needed to be tested.
GW has no way to recoup the cost of re-basing the models
There is an incorrect underlying assumption here: that it would be hugely expensive to re-base a few showcase models.
In fact it could be done rather easily and on the cheap.
- Step 1: is design some bespoke new, round, and oval bases. These have a deep, full depth, drop in area. GW has 3D design software and access to 3D printers. They already use both to prototype new gaming models. A simple geometric object would be very easy and quick.
- Step 2: is print a few prototype bases. Hand them over to the HM guys when they arrive from the printers.
- Step 3: is sit the old rectilinear base inside the new base.
- Step 4: is bury the old base and fill in the new base with superglue and fresh but matching basing materials.
Step 1 is an hour's work in the software for an experienced 3D modeler.
Steps 3 & 4 are a couple of afternoons by two? guys on the HM team.
The biggest expense is paying for the 3D prints of the new test bases.
Anyone could try this for themselves. ReaperMinis is making
drop-in round bases (so that a gamer could put a metal mini with an integral metal base into a regulation D&D base). They only have 1, 2, and 3 inch available because those are the most common D&D sizes.